Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.233317 0.264763 0.298378 0.336930 0.379861 0.426141 0.479746
2025-10-05 0.192507 0.234886 0.283094 0.341784 0.411086 0.490085 0.586718
2025-10-12 0.165699 0.215240 0.274675 0.350781 0.445151 0.557788 0.701817
2025-10-19 0.142801 0.196307 0.263641 0.353817 0.470535 0.615521 0.808124
2025-10-26 0.126631 0.183227 0.257573 0.361192 0.500469 0.679604 0.925551
2025-11-02 0.114692 0.173899 0.254765 0.371588 0.533987 0.749387 1.053806
2025-11-09 0.101033 0.160278 0.244287 0.369872 0.550097 0.796141 1.153374
2025-11-16 0.089840 0.148741 0.235252 0.368765 0.566087 0.842700 1.254315
2025-11-23 0.080231 0.138365 0.226655 0.367067 0.580381 0.886871 1.353436
2025-11-30 0.074258 0.132927 0.224777 0.374868 0.608582 0.951837 1.485006
2025-12-07 0.067379 0.125188 0.218467 0.375028 0.624794 0.999564 1.593191
2025-12-14 0.061342 0.118152 0.212526 0.375037 0.640338 1.046565 1.701993
2025-12-21 0.055782 0.111519 0.206920 0.375559 0.657382 1.097831 1.821772
2025-12-28 0.051777 0.107221 0.204833 0.381658 0.683663 1.164676 1.968910
2026-01-04 0.048839 0.104561 0.205295 0.392008 0.717426 1.244901 2.140820
2026-01-11 0.045182 0.100095 0.202091 0.395596 0.739825 1.307723 2.287652
2026-01-18 0.042524 0.097284 0.201609 0.403874 0.770574 1.385470 2.462007
2026-01-25 0.040511 0.095547 0.202938 0.415431 0.807563 1.475143 2.659753
2026-02-01 0.037080 0.090440 0.197329 0.413576 0.820387 1.524385 2.791857
2026-02-08 0.034064 0.085862 0.192316 0.412376 0.834124 1.575557 2.929104
2026-02-15 0.031272 0.081444 0.187202 0.410513 0.846345 1.624394 3.064099
2026-02-22 0.029736 0.079711 0.187428 0.419137 0.878585 1.709795 3.265946
2026-03-01 0.027560 0.076216 0.183630 0.419318 0.894609 1.766723 3.419756